03/07/09 Ratings

Hi today’s preview.

You can find today’s race and ratings by clicking here.

Today’s example race is the 6:15pm Bellewstown.

A definite backing race in my experience, the top rated is 10 clear of the next best and with only 1/3rd of the field rated positive.

There are however five system lays, which only one falls into my odds cut off and the other four look like been over my buffer zone for this system.

I must admit I am tempted to lay Tradewinds and more than likely will closer to the off, however my main priority is getting stuck into this back bet on Napa Starr.

The bookies have it around 11/2 in a place and generally 6/1 and Betfair as most will know are not going to have much liquidity on this race for two reasons, they been its an Irish race and secondly because its an evening race to boot.

The ratings point out its a “value bet” and obviously top rated, the stats suggest the jockey riding Napa Starr is significantly better at the course than any other jockey riding in the race.

The stats also point out that the trainer is knocking in winners and considering the time of year and this been an Irish National Hunt race, this becomes a bit more to our use, I am more than happy with 9/2 plus on this horse and one I will be backing.

WIN Selection: NAPA STARR

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