National Hunt Trends
Trainers trends for February
P F Nicholls, Henry Oliver, P J Hobbs, D E Pipe, N A Twiston-Davies & Denis Gerard Hogan are the top trainers to look out for in handicap hurdles during February. Each of these horse racing trainers produces a level stakes profit while retaining respectable strike rates and should be taken notice of in this horse racing sphere.
D E Pipe has one of the lowest strike rates in the group at 16% but is added to the list because of his huge profits during the month and that he sends out plenty of runners, his actual place strike rate is 45% so when you calculate the near miss equation into it, he could easily be very profitable for the coming month.
On the negative side of things 2 trainers to avoid are Nicky Henderson & D McCain Jnr, they both really struggle with winners and are constantly over bet in this sphere. I always look to take them on during this period of the national hunt season.
There are 3 decent trainers who excel during this month, notably Willie Mullins, he has a great strike rate of 43%, good profits, plenty of runners and a good near miss value. He is closely followed by Nicky Henderson who boasts similar credentials but because his horses start at a much lower SP compared to Mullins he therefore has a lower profit margin. The other horse racing trainer to follow during the month is D E Pipe whom has a good strike rate but wouldn’t make you rich!
Trainers which I love to lay on the betting exchanges during this month include Jonjo O’Neill if you lay his runners on Betfair you would show good profits, he seems to take the foot off the gas during the period leading up to the Cheltenham Festival. It is wise to also avoid backing any Alan King or Gordon Elliott runners in this sphere.
There are not many positives to get carried away with but so far the trend id to back D E Pipe runners during the month and I could not put you off following him again in this sphere. D G Bridgewater & Mrs S J Smith are also trainers to take note of during this month. Venetia Williams has plenty of runners during this month based on previous history and retains respectable strike rates of 25% for winners and 47% for placed horses, thus giving her the nod to join this group of trainers to look out for in February in handicap chases..
With very few solid positives it is therefore hard to find any significant negatives in this sphere to profit from.
There are not many positives in this sphere either to benefit from blindly backing them. However favourites have a staggering 49% win strike rate in this sphere, so for those who lay the favs blindly then you best be careful during February.